World Cup 2026 Predictions
FIFA World Cup 2026™ · 11 June – 19 July 2026 · Canada, Mexico & USA
Last updated: 22/06/2026, 8:45 am · Source: FIFA live results
Predicted World Cup 2026 champions
Germany
Joshua Kimmich lifts the trophy in our live bracket forecast · 45% final confidence
Who will win World Cup 2026?
Our live bracket model compared with Opta, betting markets, and major media forecasts. Updated when you refresh standings data.
Our prediction
Germany
GER
45% model confidence
Live form + FIFA rank + consensus
Opta Supercomputer
Spain
ESP
16.1% win probability
25,000 sims · pre-tournament
As of 2026-06-01
Yahoo / Polymarket
France
FRA
18.0% win probability
Prediction market leader
As of 2026-06-18
Goal.com / Odds
France
FRA
5.00 favourite (PariMatch)
As of 2026-06-18
ESPN / Joachim Klement
Netherlands
NED
Beat Portugal in model final
As of 2026-06-18
World Cup 2026 knockout bracket prediction
Full knockout path from Round of 32 to the Final — predicted winners with confidence scores from FIFA rankings and tournament form.
Knockout prediction
FIFA World Cup 2026 bracket — green highlight = predicted winner. Form-weighted model from live standings and rankings.
Based on FIFA standings
Round of 32
Mon, 29 Jun, 5:00 pm
83%
Tue, 30 Jun, 5:00 pm
83%
Sun, 28 Jun, 7:00 pm
45%
Mon, 29 Jun, 8:30 pm
67%
Thu, 2 Jul, 7:00 pm
51%
Thu, 2 Jul, 11:00 pm
73%
Wed, 1 Jul, 8:00 pm
77%
Thu, 2 Jul, 12:00 am
58%
Round of 16
Sat, 4 Jul, 5:00 pm
44%
Sat, 4 Jul, 9:00 pm
75%
Mon, 6 Jul, 7:00 pm
64%
Tue, 7 Jul, 12:00 am
66%
Quarter-final
Thu, 9 Jul, 8:00 pm
45%
Fri, 10 Jul, 7:00 pm
56%
Semi-final
Tue, 14 Jul, 7:00 pm
48%
Final
Sun, 19 Jul, 7:00 pm
M107
45%
Play-off for third place
Sat, 18 Jul, 9:00 pm
M103
Semi-final
Wed, 15 Jul, 7:00 pm
46%
Quarter-final
Sat, 11 Jul, 9:00 pm
57%
Sun, 12 Jul, 1:00 am
73%
Round of 16
Sun, 5 Jul, 8:00 pm
68%
Mon, 6 Jul, 12:00 am
60%
Tue, 7 Jul, 4:00 pm
79%
Tue, 7 Jul, 8:00 pm
42%
Round of 32
Tue, 30 Jun, 1:00 am
56%
Tue, 30 Jun, 9:00 pm
44%
Wed, 1 Jul, 1:00 am
75%
Wed, 1 Jul, 4:00 pm
85%
Fri, 3 Jul, 6:00 pm
85%
Sat, 4 Jul, 1:00 am
43%
Fri, 3 Jul, 3:00 am
63%
Fri, 3 Jul, 10:00 pm
69%
Bracket by round — tap a section to expand. Green highlight = predicted winner.
Final
Final
Sun, 19 Jul, 7:00 pm
M107
45%
Play-off for third place
Sat, 18 Jul, 9:00 pm
M103
Semi-final
Tue, 14 Jul, 7:00 pm
M101
48%
Semi-final
Wed, 15 Jul, 7:00 pm
M102
46%